Final Score: Reds 3 - Astros 4
Wednesday, May 11, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-16 Rating 1505
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Astros
13-23 Rating 1462
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 350 340
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 36 36
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.4
Win percentage 56% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 39%