Final Score: Mets 9 - Nationals 5
Sunday, July 4, 2010 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
45-36 Rating 1499
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Nationals
36-46 Rating 1425
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 357 342
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 81 82
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.6
Win percentage 56% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 56%