Final Score: Phillies 3 - Yankees 7
Wednesday, November 4, 2009 at 7:57 PM ET

Phillies @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
102-74 Rating 1559
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Yankees
113-63 Rating 1606
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Yankees
All-time wins 12 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 5.2
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Yankees
Games played 176 176
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 58% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 72%