Final Score: Cubs 6 - Reds 3
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
56-48 Rating 1525
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Reds
45-60 Rating 1449
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 251 270
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.8
Win percentage 54% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 44%