Final Score: Astros 1 - Cubs 5
Monday, July 27, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
50-48 Rating 1505
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
51-45 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 281 243
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 98 96
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 62%