Final Score: Mets 4 - Astros 5
Friday, July 24, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Mets @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
44-50 Rating 1503
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
49-46 Rating 1507
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Astros
All-time wins 201 222
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 9 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Astros
Games played 94 95
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 47% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 54%