Final Score: Mets 3 - Red Sox 2
Saturday, May 23, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
22-19 Rating 1527
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
25-17 Rating 1572
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Red Sox
All-time wins 13 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.7 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Red Sox
Games played 41 42
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 54% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 76%