Final Score: Phillies 8 - Nationals 5
Saturday, May 16, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
17-16 Rating 1543
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Nationals
12-22 Rating 1425
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 354 326
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 33 34
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.4 6.2
Win percentage 52% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 43%