Final Score: Mets 7 - Marlins 6
Sunday, September 23, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
86-68 Rating 1540
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Marlins
66-89 Rating 1461
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 120 105
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.0
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 154 155
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.5
Win percentage 56% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 43%