Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Red Sox 5
Friday, July 13, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
43-45 Rating 1508
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
54-34 Rating 1555
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 186 236
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 88 88
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 49% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 67%