Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Red Sox 7
Thursday, July 12, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
43-44 Rating 1509
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
53-34 Rating 1553
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 186 235
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 0 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 87 87
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 49% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 67%