Final Score: Padres 4 - Marlins 5
Friday, May 4, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
15-13 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
13-14 Rating 1500
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 56 54
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.5
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%