Final Score: Yankees 3 - Mets 4
Sunday, May 21, 2006 at 8:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
24-17 Rating 1572
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Mets
25-17 Rating 1511
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 34 21
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 41 42
Avg runs scored 5.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 59% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 65%