Final Score: Mets 4 - Phillies 5
Thursday, July 8, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
43-40 Rating 1486
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
44-39 Rating 1514
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 293 298
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 10 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 83 83
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 55%