Final Score: Yankees 5 - Mets 6
Sunday, July 4, 2004 at 1:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
50-28 Rating 1591
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Mets
40-39 Rating 1481
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 30 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 9 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 78 79
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 64% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 59%