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Villarreal vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Villarreal 5–1 Atl. Madrid
Sun, May 24, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Villarreal
21-6-10Rating 1859
Form: LLDWW
5 – 1
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
21-6-10Rating 1960
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatAtl. Madrid
37Games played37
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.1
57% / 16% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss57% / 16% / 27%
78% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatAtl. Madrid
8All-time wins (30 meetings, 11 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-09-13): Atl. Madrid 2–0 Villarreal