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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 58% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
Sat, Oct 4, 2025 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
6-0-1Rating 2059
Form: LWWWW
3 – 1
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
La Liga
Villarreal
5-1-1Rating 1859
Form: WWWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatVillarreal
7Games played7
2.3Avg goals scored1.9
1.1Avg goals conceded0.7
86% / 0% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 14% / 14%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatVillarreal
14All-time wins (29 meetings, 11 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2025-03-15): Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid