Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-28 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-08 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 57% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 4–0 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 74% | |
| 2025-04-05 | 1–2 | Valencia +1 | Real Madrid 77% | |
| 2025-01-03 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 64% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2023-05-21 | 1–0 | Valencia +1 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2023-02-02 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2022-01-08 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2021-09-19 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2021-02-14 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2020-11-08 | 4–1 | Valencia +3 | Real Madrid 54% | |
| 2020-06-18 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2019-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Valencia 37% | |
| 2019-04-03 | 2–1 | Valencia +1 | Real Madrid 37% | |
| 2018-12-01 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2018-01-27 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 46% | |
| 2017-08-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 78% | |
| 2017-04-29 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2017-02-22 | 2–1 | Valencia +1 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2016-05-08 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 77% | |
| 2016-01-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2015-05-09 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2015-01-04 | 2–1 | Valencia +1 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2014-05-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 82% | |
| 2013-12-22 | 2–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 57% | |
| 2013-01-20 | 0–5 | Real Madrid +5 | Real Madrid 52% | |
| 2012-08-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 73% | |
| 2012-04-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2011-11-19 | 2–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2011-04-23 | 3–6 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2010-12-04 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2010-04-18 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 57% |