Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-30 | 4–0 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 80% | |
| 2018-04-15 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2017-11-25 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 82% | |
| 2017-05-21 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2017-01-21 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2016-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 64% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2015-04-18 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 65% | |
| 2014-03-15 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 71% | |
| 2013-10-19 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 71% | |
| 2013-05-08 | 6–2 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2012-12-22 | 3–2 | Malaga +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2012-03-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 80% | |
| 2011-10-22 | 0–4 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2011-03-03 | 7–0 | Real Madrid +7 | Real Madrid 78% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 48% | |
| 2010-05-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 50% | |
| 2010-01-24 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 45% |