Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-22 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-06 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 48% | |
| 2025-12-07 | 0–2 | Celta Vigo +2 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2025-05-04 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 71% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2024-03-10 | 4–0 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2023-08-25 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 56% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2021-09-12 | 5–2 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2021-01-02 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2020-02-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 43% | |
| 2019-03-16 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2018-11-11 | 2–4 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 49% | |
| 2018-05-12 | 6–0 | Real Madrid +6 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2018-01-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2017-05-17 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 7–1 | Real Madrid +6 | Real Madrid 74% | |
| 2015-10-24 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2015-04-26 | 2–4 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2014-12-06 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 80% | |
| 2014-05-11 | 2–0 | Celta Vigo +2 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2014-01-06 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 80% | |
| 2013-03-10 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2012-10-20 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 78% |