Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-04 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-20 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 39% | |
| 2026-03-22 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 5–2 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 39% | |
| 2025-02-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2024-09-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 44% | |
| 2024-02-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2023-09-24 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 37% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2022-09-18 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 43% | |
| 2022-05-08 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 43% | |
| 2021-12-12 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2021-03-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 42% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 44% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 1–0 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 54% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 42% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2018-04-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 40% | |
| 2017-04-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 38% | |
| 2016-02-27 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2015-10-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 39% | |
| 2015-02-07 | 4–0 | Atl. Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 41% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 49% | |
| 2014-03-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 45% | |
| 2013-09-28 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2013-04-27 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 45% | |
| 2012-12-01 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2012-04-11 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2011-03-19 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 59% | |
| 2010-11-07 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2010-03-28 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 56% |