Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-15 | 2–1 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 38% | |
| 2026-03-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Sevilla 39% | |
| 2025-09-28 | 0–1 | Sevilla +1 | Rayo Vallecano 50% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 49% | |
| 2024-11-24 | 1–0 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 42% | |
| 2024-02-05 | 1–2 | Sevilla +1 | Rayo Vallecano 47% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Sevilla 46% | |
| 2023-02-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 41% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Sevilla 46% | |
| 2022-03-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Sevilla 48% | |
| 2021-08-15 | 3–0 | Sevilla +3 | Sevilla 63% | |
| 2019-04-25 | 5–0 | Sevilla +5 | Sevilla 64% | |
| 2018-08-19 | 1–4 | Sevilla +3 | Sevilla 39% | |
| 2016-02-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Sevilla 51% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 3–2 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 60% | |
| 2015-04-26 | 2–0 | Sevilla +2 | Sevilla 66% | |
| 2014-12-07 | 0–1 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 37% | |
| 2014-02-23 | 0–1 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 40% | |
| 2013-09-25 | 4–1 | Sevilla +3 | Sevilla 52% | |
| 2013-02-03 | 2–1 | Sevilla +1 | Sevilla 49% | |
| 2012-09-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 42% | |
| 2012-05-05 | 5–2 | Sevilla +3 | Sevilla 54% | |
| 2012-01-08 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Sevilla 37% |