Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-14 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-18 | 3–0 | Celta Vigo +3 | Celta Vigo 52% | |
| 2025-09-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2025-05-18 | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Celta Vigo 49% | |
| 2025-01-10 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2024-03-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Celta Vigo 45% | |
| 2023-12-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 53% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 3–0 | Celta Vigo +3 | Celta Vigo 43% | |
| 2022-11-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 54% | |
| 2022-02-05 | 2–0 | Celta Vigo +2 | Celta Vigo 44% | |
| 2021-11-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 48% | |
| 2019-05-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Celta Vigo 56% | |
| 2019-01-11 | 4–2 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Celta Vigo 37% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 3–0 | Rayo Vallecano +3 | Celta Vigo 41% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 3–0 | Celta Vigo +3 | Celta Vigo 47% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 6–1 | Celta Vigo +5 | Celta Vigo 47% | |
| 2014-11-23 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 36% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 3–0 | Rayo Vallecano +3 | Rayo Vallecano 42% | |
| 2013-11-09 | 0–2 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Celta Vigo 51% | |
| 2013-04-07 | 0–2 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Celta Vigo 39% | |
| 2012-11-10 | 3–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 45% |