Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Osasuna 42% | |
| 2026-01-24 | 1–3 | Osasuna +2 | Rayo Vallecano 41% | |
| 2025-09-14 | 2–0 | Osasuna +2 | Osasuna 43% | |
| 2025-01-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Osasuna 45% | |
| 2024-09-16 | 3–1 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Rayo Vallecano 44% | |
| 2024-04-20 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 43% | |
| 2023-12-15 | 1–0 | Osasuna +1 | Osasuna 41% | |
| 2023-04-14 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 43% | |
| 2022-09-04 | 2–1 | Osasuna +1 | Osasuna 46% | |
| 2022-02-12 | 0–3 | Osasuna +3 | Rayo Vallecano 46% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 1–0 | Osasuna +1 | Osasuna 43% | |
| 2014-03-26 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2013-10-30 | 3–1 | Osasuna +2 | Osasuna 45% | |
| 2013-04-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 47% | |
| 2012-11-30 | 1–0 | Osasuna +1 | Osasuna 46% | |
| 2012-04-07 | 6–0 | Rayo Vallecano +6 | Rayo Vallecano 36% | |
| 2011-11-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Osasuna 47% |