Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-28 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-19 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 72% | |
| 2018-02-10 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 63% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 71% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 4–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 71% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 73% | |
| 2015-12-20 | 1–0 | Malaga +1 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 56% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 66% | |
| 2014-05-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 76% | |
| 2014-01-04 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 56% | |
| 2013-03-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 38% | |
| 2012-10-07 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2012-05-05 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 52% | |
| 2012-01-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Malaga 45% | |
| 2011-05-07 | 0–3 | Malaga +3 | Atl. Madrid 53% | |
| 2010-12-19 | 0–3 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Malaga 38% | |
| 2010-01-31 | 0–2 | Malaga +2 | Atl. Madrid 47% |