Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-25 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-03 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 47% | |
| 2025-12-21 | 4–0 | Elche +4 | Elche 42% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 4–0 | Elche +4 | Rayo Vallecano 44% | |
| 2022-10-03 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 50% | |
| 2022-02-18 | 2–1 | Elche +1 | Elche 45% | |
| 2021-10-17 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 49% | |
| 2015-02-09 | 2–0 | Elche +2 | Elche 40% | |
| 2014-09-14 | 2–3 | Elche +1 | Rayo Vallecano 46% | |
| 2014-01-18 | 2–0 | Elche +2 | Elche 47% | |
| 2013-08-19 | 3–0 | Rayo Vallecano +3 | Rayo Vallecano 48% |