Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-05 | 3–0 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2026-04-25 | 3–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Atl. Madrid 49% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 57% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Atl. Madrid 41% | |
| 2023-02-19 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 49% | |
| 2022-10-15 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Ath Bilbao 41% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Atl. Madrid 41% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 60% | |
| 2021-04-25 | 2–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2021-03-10 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2020-06-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 39% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 58% | |
| 2019-03-16 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2018-11-10 | 3–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 69% | |
| 2018-02-18 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 67% | |
| 2017-09-20 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 44% | |
| 2017-05-21 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 63% | |
| 2017-01-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2016-04-20 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2015-12-13 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 63% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 68% | |
| 2014-12-21 | 1–4 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2013-11-03 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 70% | |
| 2013-01-27 | 3–0 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2012-08-27 | 4–0 | Atl. Madrid +4 | Atl. Madrid 58% | |
| 2012-03-21 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2011-10-27 | 3–0 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Ath Bilbao 43% | |
| 2011-01-30 | 0–2 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Atl. Madrid 43% | |
| 2010-09-11 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2010-03-25 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 48% |