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Serie A
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Lazio has a 53% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1802
Form: WDWWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.1%1.2%19.4%
If Win <1%3.0%2.0%13.9%
If Draw <1%1.7%2.0%19.3%
If Lose <1%1.2%<1%21.9%

Lazio

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.3%32.7%11.9%<1%
If Win 4.3%35.3%12.7%<1%
If Draw 3.0%28.6%10.8%<1%
If Lose 2.7%28.1%10.0%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LazioStatFiorentina
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded2.4
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LazioStatFiorentina
18All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-13): Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio