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Serie A
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 37% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1894
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AS Roma

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 25.9%79.4%6.6%<1%
If Win 31.2%83.6%5.9%<1%
If Draw 24.0%79.5%7.0%<1%
If Lose 21.5%74.9%8.4%<1%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.3%43.7%12.5%<1%
If Win 7.6%52.6%10.8%<1%
If Draw 5.6%43.5%12.3%<1%
If Lose 4.0%40.2%11.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatAS Roma
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored2.8
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatAS Roma
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 12 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-25): AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan