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Serie A
Sun, May 2, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

AS Roma vs Napoli Prediction & Win Probability

AS Roma has a 52% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1894
Form: DWWWW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.5%29.5%11.0%<1%
If Win 5.0%38.8%11.6%<1%
If Draw 2.7%30.9%11.1%1.0%
If Lose 2.2%26.2%10.3%1.1%

AS Roma

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 23.2%77.7%7.7%<1%
If Win 28.3%82.1%6.8%<1%
If Draw 23.0%76.0%8.4%<1%
If Lose 17.9%71.1%9.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AS RomaStatNapoli
5Games played5
2.8Avg goals scored1.4
0.6Avg goals conceded1.2
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AS RomaStatNapoli
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Napoli 2–2 AS Roma