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Serie A
Sun, Apr 18, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 44% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.2%30.3%10.6%<1%
If Win 3.6%36.7%12.1%<1%
If Draw 2.5%29.1%11.7%<1%
If Lose 2.2%24.7%11.5%1.1%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.3%44.6%11.9%<1%
If Win 7.1%50.9%12.9%<1%
If Draw 5.1%41.5%11.2%<1%
If Lose 3.9%35.4%11.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatNapoli
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatNapoli
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Napoli 1–0 AC Milan