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Serie A
Sun, Jan 31, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 54% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.9%1.8%19.2%
If Win <1%3.8%2.5%13.1%
If Draw <1%1.7%1.7%18.4%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.0%21.6%

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.2%15.6%8.2%2.8%
If Win 1.3%17.7%8.5%1.4%
If Draw <1%12.8%7.1%2.9%
If Lose <1%8.9%6.3%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AtalantaStatFiorentina
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AtalantaStatFiorentina
9All-time wins (31 meetings, 8 draws)14
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-22): Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta