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Serie A
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 58% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.1%1.9%20.2%
If Win <1%4.1%3.4%11.4%
If Draw <1%2.0%1.6%18.0%
If Lose <1%1.3%<1%21.6%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.8%30.0%11.2%<1%
If Win 3.4%34.0%11.9%<1%
If Draw 1.9%25.8%10.5%<1%
If Lose 1.4%20.5%9.5%1.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatFiorentina
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatFiorentina
17All-time wins (34 meetings, 11 draws)6
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli