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Serie A
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 58% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.6%2.3%20.1%
If Win <1%3.1%2.5%10.4%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.6%18.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%22.7%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.5%42.9%12.3%<1%
If Win 7.4%49.7%11.6%<1%
If Draw 4.9%39.7%11.9%<1%
If Lose 3.4%35.1%11.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatFiorentina
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded2.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatFiorentina
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-11): Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan