SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / Italy / Serie A / Matches / AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 46% chance to win.
Final Score: AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta
Sun, May 10, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST
Serie A
AC Milan
19-10-6Rating 1838
Form: LDWLL
‹ Prev Next ›
2 – 3
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Serie A
Atalanta
14-13-8Rating 1772
Form: DLDLW
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatAtalanta
35Games played35
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
0.8Avg goals conceded0.9
54% / 29% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 37% / 23%
53% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
AC MilanStatAtalanta
11All-time wins (30 meetings, 9 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-10-28): Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Results

AC Milan

@ Sassuolo
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
vs Juventus
Sun, Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Verona
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Udinese
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3
@ Napoli
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1

Atalanta

vs Genoa
Sat, May 2, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Cagliari
Mon, Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ AS Roma
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Juventus
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Lecce
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0