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Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Fiorentina has a 39% chance to win.
Final Score: Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina
Mon, Apr 20, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST
Serie A
Lecce
7-6-19Rating 1696
Form: LLLLW
1 – 1
Model Probability
33%
Draw 28%
39%
Serie A
Fiorentina
8-11-13Rating 1736
Form: WWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LecceStatFiorentina
32Games played32
0.7Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.4
22% / 19% / 59%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 34% / 41%
25% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LecceStatFiorentina
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 3 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-11-02): Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce