Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Fiorentina 47% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 3–1 | Sassuolo +2 | Sassuolo 38% | |
| 2024-04-28 | 5–1 | Fiorentina +4 | Fiorentina 65% | |
| 2024-01-06 | 1–0 | Sassuolo +1 | Fiorentina 47% | |
| 2023-06-02 | 1–3 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2023-01-07 | 2–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 49% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 2–1 | Sassuolo +1 | Sassuolo 42% | |
| 2021-12-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 44% | |
| 2021-04-17 | 3–1 | Sassuolo +2 | Sassuolo 47% | |
| 2020-12-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2020-07-01 | 1–3 | Sassuolo +2 | Fiorentina 46% | |
| 2019-10-30 | 1–2 | Fiorentina +1 | Sassuolo 38% | |
| 2019-04-29 | 0–1 | Sassuolo +1 | Fiorentina 56% | |
| 2018-12-09 | 3–3 | Draw | Fiorentina 36% | |
| 2018-04-21 | 1–0 | Sassuolo +1 | Fiorentina 44% | |
| 2017-12-03 | 3–0 | Fiorentina +3 | Fiorentina 59% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2016-12-12 | 2–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 60% | |
| 2016-04-17 | 3–1 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 51% | |
| 2015-11-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2015-02-14 | 1–3 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2014-09-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Fiorentina 60% | |
| 2014-05-06 | 3–4 | Sassuolo +1 | Fiorentina 71% | |
| 2013-12-22 | 0–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 54% |