Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-18 | 2–1 | Monza +1 | Monza 38% | |
| 2024-01-28 | 1–0 | Monza +1 | Monza 49% | |
| 2023-10-02 | 0–1 | Monza +1 | Sassuolo 45% | |
| 2023-05-19 | 1–2 | Monza +1 | Sassuolo 41% | |
| 2023-01-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Monza 46% |