Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-01-13 | 2–1 | Monza +1 | Fiorentina 47% | |
| 2024-09-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 53% | |
| 2024-05-13 | 2–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 52% | |
| 2023-12-22 | 0–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 38% | |
| 2023-04-23 | 3–2 | Monza +1 | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2023-01-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 52% |