Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 39% | |
| 2025-11-02 | 0–1 | Lecce +1 | Fiorentina 57% | |
| 2025-02-28 | 1–0 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 63% | |
| 2024-10-20 | 0–6 | Fiorentina +6 | Fiorentina 41% | |
| 2024-02-02 | 3–2 | Lecce +1 | Fiorentina 42% | |
| 2023-08-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 55% | |
| 2023-03-19 | 1–0 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 55% | |
| 2022-10-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Lecce 37% | |
| 2020-07-15 | 1–3 | Fiorentina +2 | Lecce 40% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 0–1 | Lecce +1 | Fiorentina 53% | |
| 2012-05-05 | 0–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Lecce 41% | |
| 2012-01-15 | 0–1 | Lecce +1 | Fiorentina 61% | |
| 2011-01-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 58% | |
| 2010-09-12 | 1–0 | Lecce +1 | Fiorentina 39% |