Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-31 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 41% | |
| 2025-11-30 | 2–0 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 58% | |
| 2025-03-30 | 1–0 | Fiorentina +1 | Atalanta 42% | |
| 2024-09-15 | 3–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 59% | |
| 2024-06-02 | 2–3 | Fiorentina +1 | Atalanta 65% | |
| 2023-09-17 | 3–2 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2023-04-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2022-10-02 | 1–0 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 56% | |
| 2022-02-20 | 1–0 | Fiorentina +1 | Atalanta 42% | |
| 2021-09-11 | 1–2 | Fiorentina +1 | Atalanta 65% | |
| 2021-04-11 | 2–3 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 54% | |
| 2020-12-13 | 3–0 | Atalanta +3 | Atalanta 63% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 1–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 46% | |
| 2019-09-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Atalanta 58% | |
| 2019-03-03 | 3–1 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 47% | |
| 2018-09-30 | 2–0 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 44% | |
| 2018-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 54% | |
| 2017-09-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 43% | |
| 2017-03-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Atalanta 48% | |
| 2016-10-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Fiorentina 54% | |
| 2016-02-21 | 2–3 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 47% | |
| 2015-10-04 | 3–0 | Fiorentina +3 | Fiorentina 59% | |
| 2015-02-08 | 3–2 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 61% | |
| 2014-09-21 | 0–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 2–0 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 62% | |
| 2013-09-22 | 0–2 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 41% | |
| 2013-04-13 | 0–2 | Fiorentina +2 | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2012-11-18 | 4–1 | Fiorentina +3 | Fiorentina 52% | |
| 2012-04-29 | 2–0 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 45% | |
| 2011-12-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 50% | |
| 2010-04-18 | 2–1 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 40% |