Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-31 | 1–0 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 53% | |
| 2026-05-17 | 0–1 | Bologna +1 | Atalanta 57% | |
| 2026-01-07 | 0–2 | Atalanta +2 | Bologna 38% | |
| 2025-04-13 | 2–0 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 51% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 46% | |
| 2024-03-03 | 1–2 | Bologna +1 | Atalanta 51% | |
| 2023-12-23 | 1–0 | Bologna +1 | Bologna 40% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 0–2 | Bologna +2 | Atalanta 56% | |
| 2023-01-09 | 1–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 41% | |
| 2022-03-20 | 0–1 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 54% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Atalanta 68% | |
| 2021-04-25 | 5–0 | Atalanta +5 | Atalanta 73% | |
| 2020-12-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Atalanta 56% | |
| 2020-07-21 | 1–0 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 70% | |
| 2019-12-15 | 2–1 | Bologna +1 | Atalanta 50% | |
| 2019-04-04 | 4–1 | Atalanta +3 | Atalanta 68% | |
| 2018-11-04 | 1–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 40% | |
| 2018-03-11 | 0–1 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 44% | |
| 2017-10-22 | 1–0 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 53% | |
| 2017-04-22 | 3–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 62% | |
| 2016-11-27 | 0–2 | Atalanta +2 | Bologna 37% | |
| 2016-03-20 | 2–0 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 41% | |
| 2015-11-01 | 3–0 | Bologna +3 | Atalanta 41% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 0–2 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 38% | |
| 2013-11-10 | 2–1 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 46% | |
| 2013-04-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 38% | |
| 2012-12-02 | 2–1 | Bologna +1 | Bologna 43% | |
| 2012-03-25 | 2–0 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 42% | |
| 2011-10-30 | 3–1 | Bologna +2 | Bologna 41% | |
| 2010-05-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 45% | |
| 2010-01-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Bologna 44% |