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Bundesliga
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 47% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1749
Form: LDWWL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%10.8%7.5%4.9%1.3%
If Win <1%14.2%9.7%3.6%<1%
If Draw <1%9.0%8.2%4.6%<1%
If Lose <1%7.6%5.9%6.8%1.7%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.6%9.4%4.1%<1%
If Win <1%15.9%10.6%2.3%<1%
If Draw <1%10.8%8.4%4.0%<1%
If Lose <1%8.1%7.4%4.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatAugsburg
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.8
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatAugsburg
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)12
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Mainz 2–0 Augsburg