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Bundesliga
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 63% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
1-2-1 · Rating 1633
Form: DWDLL
Model Probability
63%
15%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.1%21.0%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.5%12.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.7%19.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.4%24.6%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.5%8.6%3.9%<1%
If Win <1%15.7%9.1%3.1%<1%
If Draw <1%10.3%6.7%4.9%1.0%
If Lose <1%8.6%6.4%6.3%1.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatSchalke
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored0.8
1.5Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 50% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatSchalke
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2023-05-05): Mainz 2–3 Schalke