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Bundesliga
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 39% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
39%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.2%57.2%12.3%<1%<1%
If Win 2.8%65.0%12.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%55.7%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.7%49.4%13.2%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.7%50.7%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.8%57.7%12.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.1%46.3%14.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.6%14.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
3.0Avg goals scored2.5
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
6All-time wins (31 meetings, 10 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen