Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen has a 52% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bayer Leverkusen
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.3% | 56.4% | 12.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 3.0% | 62.9% | 12.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.2% | 53.0% | 14.4% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.1% | 47.5% | 14.7% | <1% | <1% |
Union Berlin
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 1.0% | 26.8% | 17.0% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 22.9% | 10.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27.5% | 16.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28.6% | 21.6% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals scored | 2.5 |
| 4.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 0% / 25% / 75% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 25% / 25% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws) | 8 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 1.8 |
Recent Results
Union Berlin
@ Bayern Munich
Fri, Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0–7
vs Schalke
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
vs Augsburg
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0