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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 53% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
22%
53%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.3%55.5%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%63.9%11.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.1%52.4%13.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%44.9%14.6%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%25.8%15.1%
If Win <1%1.5%1.9%20.6%8.3%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%27.1%14.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.6%17.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
0.5Avg goals scored2.5
3.2Avg goals conceded1.2
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatBayer Leverkusen
3All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV