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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Bayern Munich vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 84% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
84%
6%
Draw 11%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.4%3.9%12.7%4.9%
If Win <1%7.8%6.0%7.5%1.7%
If Draw <1%4.2%3.4%10.7%2.9%
If Lose <1%2.6%2.9%14.2%5.1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 79.9%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 80.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.7%99.3%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 67.3%98.6%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatPaderborn
4Games played4
3.5Avg goals scored0.8
0.5Avg goals conceded1.2
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatPaderborn
4All-time wins (4 meetings, 0 draws)0
4Last 4 meetings (0 draws)0
4.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2020-02-21): Bayern Munich 3–2 Paderborn