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← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 57% chance to win.
Final Score: RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
10-2-4Rating 1838
Form: WLLWD
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1 – 5
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
57%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
15-2-0Rating 2054
Form: WWWDW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
16Games played17
2.0Avg goals scored3.9
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
62% / 12% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss88% / 12% / 0%
88% Home win % / Away win % 88%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
2All-time wins (19 meetings, 7 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2025-08-22): Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Results

RB Leipzig

vs Freiburg
Wed, Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Union Berlin
Fri, Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6–0
@ B. Monchengladbach
Fri, Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0

Bayern Munich

@ FC Koln
Wed, Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
vs Wolfsburg
Sun, Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8–1
@ Heidenheim
Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
vs Mainz
Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Stuttgart
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0