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Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
9-3-4Rating 1764
Form: WDWLW
1 – 0
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
41%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
9-2-5Rating 1853
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
16Games played16
2.1Avg goals scored2.1
1.3Avg goals conceded1.5
56% / 19% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 12% / 31%
62% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
8All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)18
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2025-08-23): Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Hoffenheim